Live Polymarket events & whale bets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

9,558 whale trades · $52193k

Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?

3 whale trades · $4.8k

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

323 whale trades · $699k

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

35 whale trades · $84k

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

203 whale trades · $410k

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

14 whale trades · $38k

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

382 whale trades · $1088k

Fed rate hike in 2026?

570 whale trades · $2636k

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

87 whale trades · $349k

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

14 whale trades · $27k

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

19 whale trades · $38k

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

12 whale trades · $20k

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?

110 whale trades · $231k

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

8 whale trades · $14k

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

9 whale trades · $16k

Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?

8 whale trades · $18k

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?

74 whale trades · $329k

Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?

4 whale trades · $5.4k

Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?

3 whale trades · $7.3k

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

3 whale trades · $6.8k

Spread

16 whale trades · $37k

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?

4 whale trades · $13k

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?

15 whale trades · $43k

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

182 whale trades · $715k

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?

5 whale trades · $11k

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

112 whale trades · $498k

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?

4 whale trades · $15k

Broncos vs. Chiefs

709 whale trades · $8664k

Will Kentucky Wildcats Win the 2026 SEC Championship?

3 whale trades · $6.9k

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

136 whale trades · $483k

Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?

155 whale trades · $573k

Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-09-12?

11 whale trades · $29k

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?

5 whale trades · $9.7k

Will América de Cali win on 2026-09-12?

8 whale trades · $9.9k

San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals

39 whale trades · $80k

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

92 whale trades · $346k

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs

39 whale trades · $146k

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

168 whale trades · $510k

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

75 whale trades · $395k

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

116 whale trades · $313k

Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-09-14?

3 whale trades · $7.0k

Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-09-14?

3 whale trades · $4.6k

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

154 whale trades · $577k

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-09-14?

15 whale trades · $41k

Bo Nix

4 whale trades · $12k

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

1,346 whale trades · $1796k

UFC 331

7 whale trades · $20k

Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-09-14?

5 whale trades · $6.4k

Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14?

84 whale trades · $198k

Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-14?

5 whale trades · $16k

Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-09-14?

6 whale trades · $10k

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?

6 whale trades · $12k

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?

4 whale trades · $5.3k

Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-14?

9 whale trades · $19k

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?

176 whale trades · $924k

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?

248 whale trades · $668k

LoL

43 whale trades · $91k

Counter-Strike

14 whale trades · $58k

Counter-Strike

4 whale trades · $5.7k

Counter-Strike

16 whale trades · $31k

LoL

41 whale trades · $113k

Counter-Strike

13 whale trades · $47k

Dota 2

8 whale trades · $15k

Counter-Strike

4 whale trades · $6.6k

Counter-Strike

9 whale trades · $23k

LoL

118 whale trades · $293k

Counter-Strike

3 whale trades · $4.9k

Dota 2

12 whale trades · $33k

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September?

429 whale trades · $1137k

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16?

34 whale trades · $86k

Will Solana dip to $50 in September?

73 whale trades · $172k

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?

132 whale trades · $366k

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20?

25 whale trades · $82k

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 14?

21 whale trades · $48k

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 15?

16 whale trades · $34k

Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 14?

33 whale trades · $69k

Bitcoin Up or Down

7 whale trades · $12k

Bitcoin Up or Down

3 whale trades · $5.1k

Bitcoin Up or Down

4 whale trades · $15k

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 16?

17 whale trades · $56k

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 15?

5 whale trades · $14k

Bitcoin Up or Down

6 whale trades · $11k

Bitcoin Up or Down

8 whale trades · $15k

Bitcoin Up or Down

4 whale trades · $7.8k

Bitcoin Up or Down

7 whale trades · $13k

Bitcoin Up or Down

6 whale trades · $8.8k

Bitcoin Up or Down

5 whale trades · $9.3k

Bitcoin Up or Down

9 whale trades · $16k

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?

857 whale trades · $2623k

Bitcoin Up or Down

4 whale trades · $11k

Bitcoin Up or Down

3 whale trades · $5.4k

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

2,307 whale trades · $9289k

Bitcoin Up or Down

7 whale trades · $19k

Bitcoin Up or Down

6 whale trades · $11k

Bitcoin Up or Down

9 whale trades · $28k

Bitcoin Up or Down

8 whale trades · $20k

Bitcoin Up or Down

3 whale trades · $7.0k

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 18?

4 whale trades · $15k

Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?

42 whale trades · $112k

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 18?

5 whale trades · $6.1k

Bitcoin Up or Down

7 whale trades · $17k

Bitcoin Up or Down

3 whale trades · $6.3k

Bitcoin Up or Down

3 whale trades · $8.3k

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18?

10 whale trades · $29k

Bitcoin Up or Down

5 whale trades · $9.5k

Bitcoin Up or Down

9 whale trades · $20k

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

710 whale trades · $3352k

Bitcoin Up or Down

10 whale trades · $28k

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

1,640 whale trades · $5513k

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

36 whale trades · $128k

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

32 whale trades · $71k

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

29 whale trades · $80k

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

826 whale trades · $3143k

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?

6 whale trades · $15k

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

551 whale trades · $3116k

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

83 whale trades · $339k

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

14 whale trades · $36k

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

204 whale trades · $348k

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

131 whale trades · $385k

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

163 whale trades · $487k

Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

63 whale trades · $166k

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

858 whale trades · $2514k

Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

3 whale trades · $5.2k

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

357 whale trades · $816k

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

60 whale trades · $163k

2026 Balance of Power

359 whale trades · $1158k

Sweden Parliamentary Election

22 whale trades · $79k

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1,015 whale trades · $2538k

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

535 whale trades · $1352k

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

116 whale trades · $519k

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

478 whale trades · $1591k

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

707 whale trades · $1647k

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

34 whale trades · $83k

Trump out as President by September 30?

68 whale trades · $331k

Trump out as President before 2027?

164 whale trades · $916k

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

3 whale trades · $5.6k

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

68 whale trades · $176k

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

121 whale trades · $500k

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

7 whale trades · $13k

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

5 whale trades · $12k

Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?

14 whale trades · $36k

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?

66 whale trades · $183k

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15?

6 whale trades · $10k

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?

331 whale trades · $771k

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

601 whale trades · $1519k

Phan Thiet 4

4 whale trades · $5.3k

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?

529 whale trades · $1694k

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

266 whale trades · $1423k

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

889 whale trades · $7174k

Phan Thiet 4

3 whale trades · $7.8k

Phan Thiet 4

26 whale trades · $51k

Phan Thiet 4

8 whale trades · $25k

W35 Kyoto

9 whale trades · $49k

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?

46 whale trades · $122k

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man

53 whale trades · $102k

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

281 whale trades · $879k

Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?

3 whale trades · $5.8k

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31 whale trades · $67k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?

3,482 whale trades · $11640k

Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC

3 whale trades · $6.9k

Phan Thiet 4

3 whale trades · $4.5k

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

395 whale trades · $875k

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?

7 whale trades · $14k

Spread

30 whale trades · $142k

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

18 whale trades · $34k

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

851 whale trades · $3251k

Phan Thiet 4

9 whale trades · $29k

Spread

5 whale trades · $5.5k

W35 Shenyang

4 whale trades · $4.6k

Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?

3 whale trades · $3.7k

W35 Shenyang, Main Draw

9 whale trades · $20k

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

255 whale trades · $570k

W35 Kyoto

3 whale trades · $8.6k

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026

12 whale trades · $33k

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

962 whale trades · $2828k

Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?

12 whale trades · $61k

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

3,692 whale trades · $13220k

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?

6 whale trades · $15k

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

234 whale trades · $582k

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

10 whale trades · $16k

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?

67 whale trades · $220k