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US Midterm Elections 2026 — Odds & Smart-Money Bets
Every Polymarket market for US Midterm Elections 2026 with whale activity: live odds (implied probabilities), volume and Insider Score. Click an event to see who is betting on what.
39 events$2.2M whale volume
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- 2026 Balance of Power58 whales$458k
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?20 whales$67k
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?4 whales$16k
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?26 whales$90k
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?15 whales$62k
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?10 whales$57k
- Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?2 whales$3k
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?14 whales$106k
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?2 whales$5k
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?5 whales$18k
- Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?6 whales$15k
- Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?11 whales$69k
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?13 whales$45k
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?4 whales$7k
- Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?1 whales$4k
- Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?2 whales$3k
- Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?2 whales$2k
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?3 whales$12k
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?1 whales$2k
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?6 whales$17k
- Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?10 whales$67k
- Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?2 whales$2k
- Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?2 whales$10k
- Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?2 whales$2k
- Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?2 whales$7k
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?13 whales$118k
- Will Ralph Norman win Spartanburg County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?2 whales$3k
- Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?1 whales$2k
- Will Ralph Norman win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?2 whales$2k
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?4 whales$6k
- Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?83 whales$872k
- Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?4 whales$5k
- Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?2 whales$3k
- Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?2 whales$8k
- Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?1 whales$8k
- Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?1 whales$4k
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?4 whales$11k
- Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?2 whales$3k
- Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?2 whales$2k
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